Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009790 0.011784 0.014269 0.017666 0.022307 0.028619 0.038220
2024-10-20 0.007257 0.009461 0.012560 0.017460 0.025503 0.039277 0.067854
2024-10-27 0.006236 0.008596 0.012214 0.018617 0.030885 0.057011 0.133851
2024-11-03 0.005621 0.008098 0.012173 0.020120 0.037700 0.084667 0.300243
2024-11-10 0.005174 0.007735 0.012208 0.021724 0.045902 0.128501 0.843910
2024-11-17 0.004635 0.007101 0.011588 0.021734 0.050317 0.170279 2.375806
2024-11-24 0.004171 0.006512 0.010911 0.021363 0.053514 0.217273 9.334809
2024-12-01 0.003680 0.005805 0.009868 0.019790 0.051890 0.236272 33.212934
2024-12-08 0.003324 0.005301 0.009151 0.018835 0.051967 0.271376 1301.369651
2024-12-15 0.003094 0.005003 0.008809 0.018762 0.055483 0.355491 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002940 0.004829 0.008701 0.019296 0.062187 0.531538 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002773 0.004609 0.008455 0.019366 0.067054 0.756417 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002522 0.004222 0.007831 0.018298 0.066337 0.914196 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002348 0.003975 0.007500 0.018088 0.070710 1.420104 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002270 0.003914 0.007591 0.019304 0.086261 4.222621 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002211 0.003885 0.007757 0.020887 0.109097 34.661832 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002157 0.003857 0.007920 0.022579 0.139809 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002046 0.003690 0.007688 0.022589 0.154059 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001932 0.003508 0.007386 0.022197 0.163240 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001789 0.003248 0.006836 0.020539 0.150906 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001678 0.003053 0.006451 0.019534 0.147456 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001605 0.002940 0.006279 0.019457 0.159352 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001557 0.002878 0.006243 0.020019 0.186145 NaN NaN